Michiana Fall Outlook: Cool start, but warm finish possible

 

Meteorological summer ended on a comfortable note across Michiana on Tuesday, with low humidity and highs in the 80s. 

It was a far cry from the norm this summer, as the season will finish as the ninth warmest and the second wettest meteorological summer on record. 

The start of September looks to be cool and dry across the Midwest. Climate models are signaling below-normal temperatures for the first two weeks of September for Michiana.

However, temperatures looks to flip the script by the time we get to October and November. We're likely to see above-normal temperatures overall for meteorological Fall 2021. 

How much precipitation Fall 2021 will bring is a bit fuzzier for the time being. Michiana has an equal chance for above OR below normal precipitation over the course of September, October and November.

September looks slightly drier-than-average for at least the first few weeks of the month. 

Besides last year, every fall since 2016 has featured above-normal precipitation. Keep in mind, as the data shows, that above-normal precipitation doesn't necessarily mean that Michiana will see above-normal snowfall (5.3" is normal for meteorological fall).